CP's Poll, The Sun's Poll, and The "Real" Poll That Actually Counts ~ Annapolis Capital Punishment
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Wednesday, February 13, 2008

CP's Poll, The Sun's Poll, and The "Real" Poll That Actually Counts

CP's presidential poll, as of the morning of 9-13 received 92 votes which was our highest response yet!(Poll was posted just before Romney suspended his campaign. A few more votes came in after this was posted, but did not appreciably change the outcome.) The results are:
Obama 40 votes or 43%
Clinton 13 votes or 15%
McCain 14 votes or 14%
Romney 6 votes or 6%
Huckabee 11votes or 11%
Other 8 votes or 8%

If we broke the above down by parties, Obama got 40 of 53 votes or close to 75% while Clinton got 13 out of 56 votes or about 25%, meaning CP's Democratic voters went for Obama in greater numbers than did MD voters overall.

If we broke the above down by parties, McCain got 14 out of 31 or about 45% while Huckabee got 11 out of 31 for about 30% and Romney got 6 out of 31 or about 20%. However, if you look at CP's unscientific poll and compare it with The Sun's equally unscientific poll, we see the numbers more aligned. For example, respondents in both unscientific polls, not by party, but as if it were a general election went for Obama at 43% (CP) and 44.9% (Sun). As for Clinton, 15% of CP voters chose her while 15.2% of Sun voters chose her. The same results hold true if you look at the votes as a total of only Democratic votes, with Obama at about 75% and Clinton at about 25%.

There is therefore, a high correlation between the self-selecting group of people who read blogs (at least this one) and online news (at least the Sun) and who are therefore assumed to be the most interested in these issues. Surely there is overlap as well between CP and Sun readers. These self-selecting Sun and CP readers picked the winners and losers by almost exactly similar percentages. However, our results aligned with overall state voters only in terms of order.

The Baltimore Sun's election results as of 2-13:

If the election were held today, who would you vote for?

Hillary Rodham Clinton (255 responses)15.2%

Mike Huckabee (349 responses) 20.8%

John McCain (173 responses)10.3%

Barack Obama (754 responses)44.9%

Ron Paul (75 responses)4.5%

Mitt Romney (48 responses)2.9%

Someone else (18 responses)1.1

Actual results

McCain , John 157,906 55%
Huckabee , Mike 84,021 29%
Romney , Mitt 17,993 6%

Obama , Barack 439,979 59%
Clinton , Hillary 273,828 37%

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